Mexico’s frozen French fries market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of around 7.1% from 2025 to 2030, driven by strong demand from the thriving foodservice industry and the increasing consumption of American-style fast food. The growth of international QSR brands and the rise of local fast-casual restaurants continue to fuel volume sales. Additionally, cross-border trade relationships with the U.S. ensure competitive pricing and efficient product inflow, contributing to market expansion. A notable restraint lies in the relatively high import dependency, making the market susceptible to tariff fluctuations and logistical disruptions. Local cold storage infrastructure, though improving, still poses a barrier in rural and semi-urban areas. However, the surge in modern retail formats, such as convenience stores and hypermarkets, creates opportunities for frozen food brands to expand their footprint. Consumer trends indicate a growing preference for value-added variants, such as seasoned fries and crinkle cuts. As health consciousness rises, low-oil or oven-baked options are emerging as potential growth areas. The blending of American food culture with traditional Mexican eating habits is reshaping frozen snack offerings, making Mexico one of the more dynamic markets in Latin America for frozen French fries.
TABLE - Mexico Frozen French Fries Market Size & Forecast By Product Type 2021-2033
Product Type | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | CAGR (2024-2033) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Straight-Cut Fries | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Crinkle-Cut Fries | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Waffle Fries | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Curly Fries | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Others (Shoestring, Steak Fries) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Total | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX |
Source: Company Publications, Primary Interviews, and SR Analysis
TABLE - Mexico Frozen French Fries Market Size & Forecast By End-Use 2021-2033
End-Use | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | CAGR (2024-2033) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Foodservice (QSRs, Cafes, Restaurants) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Retail (Supermarkets, Hypermarkets, Convenience Stores) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Institutional (Schools, Hospitals, Airlines) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Total | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX |
Source: Company Publications, Primary Interviews, and SR Analysis
TABLE - Mexico Frozen French Fries Market Size & Forecast By Distribution Channel 2021-2033
Distribution Channel | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | CAGR (2024-2033) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offline (Traditional Retail, Specialty Stores) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Online (E-commerce, Direct Delivery) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Total | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX |
Source: Company Publications, Primary Interviews, and SR Analysis