Spain’s driverless shuttle minibus market is emerging steadily, supported by rising urban mobility challenges, European Union transport funding, and efforts to modernize city transport infrastructure. Barcelona, Madrid, and Málaga are leading regions adopting AV trials in closed or semi-open environments. A key market driver is the national push to reduce carbon emissions in alignment with EU Green Deal goals, while another is the need to enhance mobility in tourism-heavy zones. However, limited domestic manufacturing capacity and underdeveloped AV-specific legislation act as growth restraints. Despite this, there is a strong opportunity to deploy autonomous shuttles in historic city centers and coastal towns, where conventional buses face maneuverability issues. A rising trend is the focus on seasonal deployment for festivals, events, and tourism circuits offering both scalability and visibility for AV tech. Spain’s market outlook is moderately optimistic, with projected CAGR growth around 12.9%, particularly if government-backed pilot initiatives scale into permanent services in the next five years.
TABLE - Spain Driverless Shuttle Minibus Market Size & Forecast By Application 2021-2033
Application | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | CAGR (2024-2033) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Transit Systems | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Airport and Campus Shuttles | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Theme Parks and Event Venues | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Senior and Disabled Transport Services | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Total | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX |
Source: Company Publications, Primary Interviews, and SR Analysis
TABLE - Spain Driverless Shuttle Minibus Market Size & Forecast By Autonomy Level 2021-2033
Autonomy Level | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | CAGR (2024-2033) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Level 3 (Conditional Automation) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Level 4 (High Automation) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |
Total | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX | XXX |
Source: Company Publications, Primary Interviews, and SR Analysis